Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.117565 8.986628 9.934078 11.047839 12.326538 13.754908 15.479875
2025-12-21 6.774094 7.887459 9.183415 10.817466 12.842870 15.297565 18.538872
2025-12-28 6.529948 7.899797 9.576631 11.811284 14.759114 18.584647 24.043958
2026-01-04 6.060927 7.544267 9.430103 12.052488 15.685331 20.667129 28.250488
2026-01-11 5.494326 6.988917 8.945083 11.757022 15.806836 21.614275 30.941511
2026-01-18 5.229828 6.796254 8.906466 12.042920 16.743428 23.805535 35.816146
2026-01-25 4.849098 6.407356 8.554604 11.831939 16.903571 24.820008 38.945278
2026-02-01 4.536937 6.086116 8.265337 11.673806 17.108489 25.904199 42.342770
2026-02-08 4.253111 5.782410 7.973620 11.477194 17.217899 26.824931 45.580877
2026-02-15 3.987989 5.486643 7.669332 11.228871 17.207031 27.523143 48.500927
2026-02-22 3.796337 5.285823 7.491371 11.161460 17.484271 28.750536 52.674530
2026-03-01 3.549812 4.987618 7.143641 10.787241 17.189360 28.886822 54.597216
2026-03-08 3.285782 4.655420 6.733298 10.295745 16.672032 28.602445 55.706862
2026-03-15 3.106707 4.444628 6.502116 10.089606 16.652452 29.285221 59.159204
2026-03-22 3.175447 4.621966 6.900991 10.997442 18.795995 34.618221 74.994780
2026-03-29 3.100450 4.565442 6.911689 11.217539 19.644165 37.386920 85.232204
2026-04-05 2.940236 4.362399 6.664603 10.947923 19.485853 37.917956 89.540622
2026-04-12 2.886489 4.329927 6.703345 11.208810 20.437023 41.119631 102.495951
2026-04-19 2.759102 4.168816 6.510784 11.016302 20.414328 42.019820 108.755717
2026-04-26 2.648463 4.030387 6.349823 10.871958 20.479350 43.144820 116.117021
2026-05-03 2.539595 3.889908 6.177516 10.692421 20.448064 44.024013 122.962616
2026-05-10 2.430370 3.744068 5.988126 10.465555 20.288074 44.548383 128.758021
2026-05-17 2.352533 3.648771 5.884719 10.403947 20.499338 46.096960 138.957626